CHAPTER 1

TENTH FIVE YEAR PLAN - AN INTRODUCTION

Background

The Ninth Five Year Plan of Kerala was approved by the Planning Commission for a five year outlay of Rs.16100 crores at constant prices and Rs. 21700 crores at current prices. Major alteration was made to the size of the Plan 2000-2001 reducing the size by 30%. Therefore the final approved outlay at current prices is 14256 crores. Out of this amount it is expected that expenditure at the end of the Plan period will be Rs. 15107 crores at current prices constituting an expenditure of 106 per cent

The plan period was marred by fiscal crisis, due to burgeoning revenue deficit caused by sharp increase in interest charges arising out of heavy borrowing and in salary and pension payments following the Fifth Pay Commission and UGC revisions accompanied by very sluggish growth in revenues and Central transfers. Non-adoption of reforms in the first four years deepened the crisis by year 2000. The white paper issued by the Government brings about the position in detail. The economy of the State was also affected during the last three years by the sharp fall in prices of cash crops on which the State is heavily dependent. Nevertheless the economy had a moderate rate of growth during the first four years of the Plan period mainly due to the Services Sector. The growth rate is given below:

1997-98
1998-99
1999-2000*
2000-01**
2.2%
6.2%
6.9%
6.9%

                               *   Provisional
                               ** Quick estimate.

Achievements of the Ninth Five Year Plan

The salient achievements of the Ninth Plan were :


Shortcomings

Towards the Tenth Five Year Plan

A three-stage methodology was adopted for preparation of the Tenth Plan. In the first stage, departments had internal consultations and prepared a status paper describing their successes and failures, analyzing their strengths and weaknesses and suggesting the way ahead and the changes required. Based on the lessons of the past, the priorities were drawn up and incorporated in the guidelines issued by the State Planning Board. (Annexure-1)

Eight Plan Committees were constituted consisting of experts from within and outside Government, covering the following areas
  1.      Agriculture and allied sectors.
  2.      Infrastructure and tourism
  3.      Industries and IT.
  4.      Social Services.
  5.      Energy.
  6.      Environment and water resources.
  7.      Local Governments and People's institutions
  8.      Resource mobilization.
The Committees constituted Working Groups and the reports of the Working Groups were made available to the departments. A large number of experts, people's representatives, local governments and their representatives were also consulted.

In the third stage, departments formulated projects according to the approved guidelines and the suggestions of the Plan Committees and the draft Plan has been finalized after detailed discussions between the State Planning Board and the departments.

While drawing up the Plan proposals the following norms have been followed.

Size of the Tenth Plan

The Finance Department estimated the resources available for the Tenth Five Year Plan at current prices as follows:

Scenario I. (As per trends and guidelines of the Planning Commission)

                                                                                                                              (Rs. in crores)
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 Total
Aggregate Plan Resources 2701.30 3266.43 3759.49 4069.38 4681.63 18478.23
Power Sector Plan 570.33 641.97 729.28 832.32 954.34 3728.24
State Plan Outlay 3271.64 3908.39 4488.77 4901.70 5635.97 22206.47

Scenario II. (Assuming that the reforms in the Medium Term Fiscal Framework are implemented in full)

                                                                                                                              (Rs. in crores)
2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 Total
Aggregate Plan Resources 3456.62 3894.75 4394.64 4965.98 5620.10 22332.09
Power Sector Plan 575.00 661.25 760.44 874.50 1005.68 3876.87
State Plan Outlay 4031.62 4556.00 5155.08 5840.48 6625.78 26208.96

Since some reforms have been initiated to reduce expenditure and to increase revenue it was decided to take a more optimistic view of the resource position than Scenario I. At the same time since all the required reforms may not materialise in the short run the Government decided to fix the size of the Five Year Plan at Rs.24,000 crores and the Annual Plan 2002-03 at Rs.3750 crores.
           

Earmarking of Outlays

During the Ninth Five Year Plan, resources earmarked at the State level were as follows:

  1. Local Governments : 30.52% of Plan size
  2. SCP                     : 9.74%       "
  3. TSP                     : 1.98%       "

66.67% of SCP funds and 68.14% of the TSP funds were given to Local Governments and included in the share of the Local Governments.

For the current year with the twin objective of strengthening decentralisation and reducing poverty the resources to be earmarked have been stepped up as follows:

  1. Local Governments : 30.52% of Plan size
  2. SCP                     : 10 %       "
  3. TSP                     : 2.25%       "
It may be noted that the allocation for SCP/TSP comes to 12.25% of the Plan size though the population share of SC/ST is only 11.02 per cent (1991 Census).

The sectoral and sub-sectoral outlays proposed for the Tenth Five Year Plan are given in Annexure-2 to this Chapter.


Highlights of the Tenth Five Year Plan
A number of initiatives have been taken this year to work out reforms: